Agonizing-Edible-Visual
0x58a382757ceb02e6f78fecb643f944c155195336
Agonizing-Edible-Visual: −$1.6K on 46 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 30%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.6K
return −1.7%
Settled bets
46
$93K staked
Won
43.5%
95% range 30%–58%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 35 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | BUY Giants
@ 67¢
Spread: Rams (-23.5) |
Spread: Rams (-23.5) | $2.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 47¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Chargers
@ 60¢
Raiders vs. Chargers |
Raiders vs. Chargers | $1.8K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Eagles
@ 99.9¢
Eagles vs. Titans |
Eagles vs. Titans | $7.8K |
| Sep 19 | BUY LYON
@ 60¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner | $4.8K |
| Sep 19 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $12K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 61¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Team WE
@ 42¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.