Staid-Workshop-Noir
0x236448c21cafb8a9cf9bb93d2e66cd73cd8d18f2
Staid-Workshop-Noir: −$15K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 35%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −28.2%
Settled bets
22
$52K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 35%–73%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$12K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$930
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Kaufland Hangry Knights
@ 50¢
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Legacy
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY BIG
@ 23¢
LoL: Galions vs BIG - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Galions vs BIG - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY G2
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 46¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 77¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.