Vain-Medicine
0x3078b391f843153c6859702cee974ca7f660a2cb
Vain-Medicine: +$884 on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 37%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$884
return +1.5%
Settled bets
27
$59K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 37%–72%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$3.5K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Anubis Gaming
@ 89¢
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Oct 7 | SELL KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs |
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 76¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.3K |
| Oct 4 | SELL UCAM Esports Club
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Team WE
@ 79¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $7.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
@ 91¢
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY HMBLE
@ 80¢
LoL: HMBLE vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: HMBLE vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $2.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY KT Rolster Challengers
@ 90¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $3.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.