Lively-Jumbo
0xf48597e74fa832880a954461860b939d2fad03ae
Lively-Jumbo: −$20K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 10% (95% range 2%–40%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$20K
return −95.5%
Settled bets
10
$21K staked
Won
10.0%
95% range 2%–40%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$17K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports
@ 41¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $8.2K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | $20K |
| Sep 11 | BUY GIANTX
@ 47¢
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $19K |
| Sep 6 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 42¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.3K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Team WE
@ 38¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $7.6K |
| Sep 2 | SELL T1
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | $20K |
| Aug 30 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner | $20K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.