Polymarket market · Other

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $52K on this market since Sep 18, 76% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.4¢ more per share, with 80% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x84ee…c788
no settled record
No @ 50¢ $20K —
Hideous-Cloves
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.4K
0x780f…8955
no settled record
Yes @ 53¢ $5.7K —
0x78cf…75e9
no settled record
No @ 44¢ $4.0K —
0xa8e3…ade8
no settled record
No @ 28¢ $3.9K —
0x50e0…17da
no settled record
No @ 35¢ $3.1K —
Vast-Gladiolus
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 34¢ $2.1K —
Wobbly-Pants
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 53¢ $1.7K —
0x0f2b…665a
no settled record
Yes @ 60¢ $1.2K —
0x640b…54b5
no settled record
No @ 34¢ $1.1K —
0xbff1…da12
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K
0x06c6…c5a7
no settled record
Yes @ 58¢ $1.0K —
0xb28a…cbdc
no settled record
Yes @ 59¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $34K
    76% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Yes
    $11K
    24% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $7.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 18 to Oct 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791961222).

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed