Lost-Hardboard
0xa8bd9ae70657db83444c6ca987b8aeb9fb0ab7aa
Lost-Hardboard: −$4.4K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.4K
return −24.7%
Settled bets
6
$18K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY Over
@ 46¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | $2.8K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 |
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | $3.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 55¢
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | $3.3K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Waldo Cortes Acosta
@ 17¢
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Édgar Cháirez
@ 63¢
Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) |
Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) | $5.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 60¢
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants |
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | $3.6K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.