Opulent-Crawdad-Crumb

0xefa5d1607708cb4fb5f43bad24270026c87dec7d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Opulent-Crawdad-Crumb: +$2.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 68%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.6K
return +11.3%
Settled bets
8
$23K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 68%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 95¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? $1.5K
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 93¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
FC Barcelona leading at halftime? $1.5K
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 87¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? $11K
Oct 6 BUY Spain @ 91¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) $1.5K
Oct 6 BUY Under @ 89¢
England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5
England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 86¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? $2.5K
Oct 2 BUY Belgium @ 95¢
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed