Polymarket market · Sports

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

34 whales traded $374K on this market since Oct 28, 75% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ less per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. No won, with 25% of the whale buying on it. Of the 31 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$78K and 20 lost −$252K: −$173K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$15K on No. Biggest loss: Circular-Audit-Railway, −$50K on Yes.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 34
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Circular-Audit-Railway
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $50K — −$50K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 48¢ $48K — −$26K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
228 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $46K — −$46K
Negligible-Mutation
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $31K — −$31K
Stylish-Warrant
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $20K — −$20K
Monumental-Folk-Karate
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $19K — −$19K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $15K — +$15K
Glass-Supper
120 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 53¢ $14K — +$12K
Dizzy-Coliseum
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $13K — −$13K
Esteemed-Cloves
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $12K — +$11K
Flippant-Section
74 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 46¢ $10K — −$10K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,561 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 50¢ $8.7K — +$8.7K
Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $8.3K — −$8.3K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 49¢ $7.9K — +$8.2K
Honest-Morbidity-Prospect
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $7.3K — +$6.8K
Itchy-Session-Hyena
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $2.9K $4.4K +$1.5K
Friendly-Raffle
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 46¢ $2.5K $3.8K +$1.3K
Fake-Suet
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Scary-Edible
1,692 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $5.7K — +$5.6K
Pristine-Hatred
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $5.1K — +$4.4K
Miniature-Ad
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $4.1K — +$3.9K
Cheery-Project-Lid
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 49¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
0x0f34…7684
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
0xd5f3…bc37
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.5K —
0x8f88…ca10
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $268K
    75% of whale buying · 22 buyers · $13K sold
  2. No won
    $91K
    25% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $2.5K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5 $59K 3 Won: Over
Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 $54K 14 Won: Under
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz $242K 36 Won: Trail Blazers
Oilers vs. Islanders $57K 12 Won: Oilers
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? $328K 31 Won: Yes
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 $66K 11 Won: Under
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur $137K 25 Won: Alex de Minaur
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5 $149K 8 Won: Under
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed