Cheery-Project-Lid
Skill vs luck
Cheery-Project-Lid on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$3.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cheery-Project-Lid: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x514b04c0e09d81fc7a64b8abd9f9fd0c93b1480b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cheery-Project-Lid: −$3.9K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$3.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes @ 49¢ | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $3.9K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.