Negligible-Mutation
0xb38a4db7a7c94973193ee586865c8c3d05563293
Negligible-Mutation: −$29K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$29K
return −36.9%
Settled bets
9
$78K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$22K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$376
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$6.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY Maccabi Tel Aviv
@ 71¢
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv |
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv | $4.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Hapoel Tel Aviv
@ 70¢
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchen |
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchen | $1.9K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Tatjana Maria
@ 53¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend | $4.6K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | $9.8K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Minnesota Lynx
@ 59¢
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream |
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream | $29K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? | $6.8K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Washington Mystics
@ 72¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury |
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury | $15K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Washington Mystics
@ 74¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury |
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.