Cavernous-Undershirt
0x9abbdf321694eec4028e9b3be0d2a07a662f3f96
Cavernous-Undershirt: +$14K on 60 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 47%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$14K
return +10.5%
Settled bets
60
$131K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 47%–71%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$13K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY
@ 67¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek AND Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek AND Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $1.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Zsombor Piros
@ 85¢
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller |
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Telekom Baskets Bonn
@ 99.9¢
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. Porto |
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. Porto | $2.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Telekom Baskets Bonn
@ 91¢
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. Porto |
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. Porto | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Trabzonspor
@ 91¢
Trabzonspor vs. Nanterre |
Trabzonspor vs. Nanterre | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Troy
@ 86¢
Southern Miss vs. Troy |
Southern Miss vs. Troy | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Novak Djokovic
@ 99¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Daniil Glinka
@ 89¢
St. Tropez: Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet |
St. Tropez: Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.