Gifted-Sight

0xc6b13482e72f656519705d792a1f25587a6c78fd

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Gifted-Sight: +$19K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 16%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$19K
return +31.9%
Settled bets
14
$60K staked
Won
35.7%
95% range 16%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$7.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$27K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY No @ 27¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? $1.1K
Sep 16 BUY Chicago Cubs @ 30¢
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) $3.3K
Sep 14 BUY New York Mets @ 28¢
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) $1.1K
Sep 14 BUY New York Mets @ 28¢
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) $2.1K
Sep 14 BUY No @ 39¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? $1.4K
Sep 13 BUY Over @ 46¢
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 48.5
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 48.5 $4.2K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 41¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? $2.6K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 20¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed