Polymarket market · Other

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales traded $99K on this market since Oct 27, 50% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. No won, with 50% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$25K and 7 lost −$28K: −$3.1K between them. Biggest win: Pristine-Hatred, +$10K on No. Biggest loss: Insecure-Aluminum-Presume, −$13K on Yes.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Pushy-Program
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $26K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,362 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 51¢ $25K — +$10K
Insecure-Aluminum-Presume
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 63¢ $13K — −$13K
Pristine-Hatred
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 48¢ $9.4K — +$10K
Fake-Bitter
1,564 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Reliable-Peanut-Shopping
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 43¢ $2.2K $3.0K —
0xed34…5838
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,302 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $2.4K — +$2.0K
Rapid-Climate
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Monstrous-Dew
500 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Miniature-Ad
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $1.7K — +$2.1K
Miserable-Poison
1,399 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 52¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Wise-Phenotype
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Talkative-Stove-Wholesale
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $1.1K — +$162

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $35K
    50% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $29K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $32K
    45% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  3. No lost
    $3.5K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793257219).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed