Pushy-Program
0x12ec6d71325afac2b4d25b3de94185e2c48d41ae
Pushy-Program: −$44K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 18%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$44K
return −61.9%
Settled bets
24
$71K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 18%–53%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$4.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$40K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 35¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 33¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $6.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 45¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 62¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $9.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova
@ 28¢
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva |
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 78¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $9.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Xtreme Gaming
@ 64¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY 1win
@ 19¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.