Wise-Phenotype
Skill vs luck
Wise-Phenotype on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$555. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wise-Phenotype: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe1666d904d93b2172d2ee0b01a78affafe058f14. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wise-Phenotype: −$555 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$3.4K
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$2.7K
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 60¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes @ 54¢ | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? ↗ | $2.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 36¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | $1.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.