Polymarket market · Esports
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Resolved: OG won · See it on Polymarket ↗
27 whales traded $95K on this market since Oct 25, 56% of their buying on Team Liquid. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ less per share, with 81% of the size there to buy. OG won, with 44% of the whale buying on it. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$34K and 12 lost −$37K: −$2.9K between them. Biggest win: Zealous-Tadpole, +$10K on OG. Biggest loss: Pastel-Push, −$13K on Team Liquid.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 27| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pastel-Push
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 47¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| Medical-Subtitle-Leg
87 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Team Liquid @ 41¢ | $11K | — | −$2.0K |
| Zealous-Tadpole
37 settled bets Beat the odds* |
OG @ 49¢ | $9.8K | — | +$10K |
| Hefty-Tentacle
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 51¢ | $8.6K | — | −$8.6K |
| Jittery-Variant
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.8K | — |
| Nervous-Kickoff-Weather
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.7K | — |
| Vague-Keyboarding
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 50¢ | $5.5K | — | +$5.5K |
| Alive-Dreamer-Hummus
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 57¢ | $5.5K | — | +$4.1K |
| Droopy-Stall
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 78¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Nervous-Parallelogram
416 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 57¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Wretched-Razor
28 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Suspicious-Helmet-Millet
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Quick-Encounter
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 99¢ | $2.0K | — | +$20 |
| Eminent-Graduation-Chalice
8 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 54¢ | $1.7K | — | +$1.5K |
| Ultimate-Underpass
252 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 79¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Plain-Attitude
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 83¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Finished-Cholesterol
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 51¢ | $1.6K | — | +$1.5K |
| Periodic-Garbage
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Grounded-Pantologist-Income
152 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Wilted-Tunic
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Forthright-Pollution
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Liquid @ 89¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Turbulent-Grandmom
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 49¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
| Miniature-Hobbit
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 82¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Worst-Analogue
443 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 53¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Belated-Endorsement-Honesty
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Liquid @ 70¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Team Liquid lost$42K56% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $4.2K sold
-
OG won$33K44% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $17K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More esports markets the whales bet on
All Esports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $186K | 36 | Won: OG | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner | $87K | 29 | Won: Team Liquid | |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner | $91K | 27 | Won: Team Spirit | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $245K | 48 | Won: Invictus Gaming | |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $376K | 81 | Won: Bilibili Gaming | |
| LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $250K | 59 | Won: Top Esports | |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | $66K | 8 | Won: PARIVISION | |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $1.42M | 112 | Won: Dplus KIA |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?