Droopy-Stall

0x60dd7009460d0bc6949ea6429fefba0df41840e5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Droopy-Stall: +$9.2K on 30 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 33%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$9.2K
return +25.4%
Settled bets
30
$36K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 33%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$5.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$806
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY MOUZ @ 72¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Team Spirit @ 49¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches $1.1K
Oct 2 BUY OG @ 85¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C $1.3K
Oct 1 BUY Aurora @ 80¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D $2.3K
Sep 29 BUY LGD Gaming @ 89¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 23 BUY Conventus Stellarum @ 67¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 12 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $2.2K
Sep 12 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner $6.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed