Wretched-Razor

0x8d8580952e72014cd508ede860c73d0ca16fc436

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wretched-Razor: −$15K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 14%–52%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$15K
return −28.5%
Settled bets
20
$53K staked
Won
30.0%
95% range 14%–52%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 52¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $4.0K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 51¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $1.4K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 55¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $1.4K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 75¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $3.1K
Aug 23 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $17K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 65¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $2.3K
Aug 23 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $11K
Aug 22 SELL Team Yandex @ 99¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $11K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed