Ugly-Diabetes
0x55932ce87559c7cfdafeef0c984ab5c1c69e2cd1
Ugly-Diabetes: −$227 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 25%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$227
return −1.8%
Settled bets
12
$13K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 25%–75%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
In the live feed
SELL
$14K
sold Vitality
@ 92¢ → now 96¢
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Nemiga
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $2.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Nemiga
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY G2
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 19 | SELL FURIA
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | SELL FURIA
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.