Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $54K on this market since Oct 24, 60% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 6.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Natus Vincere won, with 60% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$13K and 8 lost −$20K: −$7.1K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$4.8K on Natus Vincere. Biggest loss: Well-Made-Sovereignty, −$6.1K on FURIA.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
1,055 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 77¢ $16K — +$4.8K
Well-Made-Sovereignty
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 57¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Infatuated-Deficit
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $4.5K — +$2.8K
Quixotic-Brow
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.3K —
Scary-Edible
1,601 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $3.0K — +$1.3K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 58¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Delicious-Attacker
618 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $2.6K — +$1.1K
Extra-Large-Tablet-Disarmament
2 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 37¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Sparse-Handgun
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 38¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Crowded-Peacock
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 57¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Harmful-Nest
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 38¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Darling-Flower
1 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 79¢ $1.5K — +$399
Itchy-Caterpillar
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 57¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Watchful-Headache
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 47¢ $1.2K — +$1.3K
Grand-Access
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 43¢ $1.1K — +$1.4K
Turbulent-Corps-Card
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 37¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere won
    $30K
    60% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. FURIA lost
    $20K
    40% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $4.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed