Extra-Large-Tablet-Disarmament
Skill vs luck
Extra-Large-Tablet-Disarmament on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Extra-Large-Tablet-Disarmament: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6a3f9cbfbfc552ffc6a334b0dc1de1314c716799. Data CC BY 4.0.
Extra-Large-Tablet-Disarmament: −$1.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Liquid
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY FURIA @ 37¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $2.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?