Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Resolved: Aurora Gaming won · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales traded $131K on this market since Oct 24, 56% of their buying on G2. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Aurora Gaming won, with 44% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$31K and 3 lost −$58K: −$27K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement, +$17K on Aurora Gaming. Biggest loss: Gracious-Management-Circle, −$56K on G2.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gracious-Management-Circle
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 @ 43¢ $56K — −$56K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ $24K — +$17K
Cumbersome-Skirt
175 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $13K —
Firm-Builder-Index
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.0K —
Outgoing-Level-Doughnut
7 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 59¢ $5.4K — +$3.8K
Sour-Assertion
15 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 70¢ $3.4K — +$1.5K
Turbulent-Corps-Card
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ $3.0K — +$2.2K
Valid-Subtitle
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ $2.9K — +$2.1K
Itchy-Caterpillar
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ $2.9K — +$2.1K
Writhing-Round
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Basic-Specialty-Reveal
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ $2.3K — +$1.6K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,257 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Salty-Notation-Homeland
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Watchful-Headache
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 @ 43¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Delicious-Attacker
618 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 94¢ $1.3K — +$73
Impassioned-Tuber
2 settled bets Too few bets
G2 @ 43¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Wide-Swordfish-Latitude
76 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Jittery-Placebo
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Trained-Couple
2 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ $1.0K — +$741

Where the whale money went

  1. G2 lost
    $58K
    56% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Aurora Gaming won
    $46K
    44% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $27K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed