Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $134K into this market since Oct 4, 94% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Natus Vincere won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$49K and 3 lost −$8.0K: +$41K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Handgun
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $63K — +$27K
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $27K — +$12K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 72¢ $14K — +$5.7K
Peppery-Podcast
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.3K —
Creative-Midwife
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
9z @ 30¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 78¢ $3.8K — +$1.1K
First-Sousaphone
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $2.1K — +$900
Small-Outrun
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $2.1K — +$900
Harmful-Nest
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 71¢ $1.8K — +$725
Unsung-Short
6 settled bets Too few bets
9z @ 31¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Failing-Historian-Clove
7 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 82¢ $1.3K — +$277
General-Secret-Rim
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Dense-Acid
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Well-Groomed-Hunter-Channel
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $1.2K — +$504
Reckless-Millisecond
2 settled bets Too few bets
9z @ 31¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Treasured-Parchment
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 69¢ $1.1K — +$496
Untrue-Glory-Journalism
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere won
    $118K
    94% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $8.9K sold
  2. 9z lost
    $8.0K
    6% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 4 to Oct 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed