Untrue-Glory-Journalism

0x571c1df8443fe4ab89149f75dd658b01776852e8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Untrue-Glory-Journalism: +$848 on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 33%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$848
return +4.3%
Settled bets
14
$20K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 33%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$848
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 93¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner $2.0K
Oct 10 BUY Team Vitality @ 92¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner $2.8K
Oct 9 SELL Spirit @ 98¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $3.2K
Oct 9 BUY Spirit @ 82¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $2.7K
Oct 9 SELL Team Falcons @ 35¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.4K
Oct 9 BUY Team Falcons @ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $3.5K
Oct 9 SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 9 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed