Small-Outrun
0x7714c16f86bcfdba47bfcb161dc39a2a1ff2b814
Small-Outrun: +$3.1K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.1K
return +14.1%
Settled bets
11
$22K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$5.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Blasterbl
@ 44¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 73¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY 1WIN
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 70¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY TYLOO
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 70¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 90¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 82¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.