Failing-Historian-Clove
0xe231e556d5699d7418886cf7cc5acd4f4ac0b67e
Failing-Historian-Clove: −$2.5K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.5K
return −40.2%
Settled bets
7
$6.2K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- −$3.5K
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- +$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 65¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 82¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | SELL
@ 99.81¢
Dolphins vs. Vikings AND Broncos vs. 49ers AND Chiefs vs. Raiders AND Jets vs. Bears |
Dolphins vs. Vikings AND Broncos vs. 49ers AND Chiefs vs. Raiders AND Jets vs. Bears | $2.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 43¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Top Esports
@ 56¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $2.1K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Athletics
@ 99.9¢
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners |
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners | $2.8K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 99.9¢
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $2.9K |
| Sep 4 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | $3.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.