Dense-Acid
0xec547d1b3a8fe79762fad95e9bf6244b2742e8c1
Dense-Acid: +$857 on 39 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 15% (95% range 7%–30%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$857
return +4.1%
Settled bets
39
$21K staked
Won
15.4%
95% range 7%–30%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$37
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 5 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 88¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? |
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LYON
@ 50¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? |
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 39¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.