Polymarket market · Other

Kentucky vs. South Carolina

Resolved: Kentucky won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $193K into this market since Oct 2, 58% of their buying on Kentucky. Kentucky won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$86K and 11 lost −$61K: +$25K between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grown-Difference-Burnout
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kentucky @ 45¢ $52K — +$50K
Negligible-Somersault
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kentucky @ 44¢ $3.0K $22K —
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 66¢ $22K — −$22K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kentucky @ 52¢ $21K — +$19K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
South Carolina @ 59¢ $14K — −$7.2K
0xe015…6ffd
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kentucky @ 66¢ $14K — +$7.0K
Same-Kidney
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 64¢ $6.4K — −$6.4K
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 85¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kentucky @ 43¢ $5.6K — +$7.5K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 55¢ $5.4K — −$5.4K
Corrupt-Poisoning
258 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kentucky @ 69¢ $5.2K — +$2.3K
Soft-Fountain-Kick
10 settled bets Too few bets
South Carolina @ 55¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Jumbo-Sorbet
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 57¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Trivial-Other-Spume
9 settled bets Too few bets
South Carolina @ 70¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
French-Iridescence
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 31¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Exhausted-Frosting
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Carolina @ 55¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Well-Groomed-Creditor
8 settled bets Too few bets
South Carolina @ 53¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Kentucky won
    $98K
    58% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $24K sold
  2. South Carolina lost
    $71K
    42% of whale buying · 12 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 2 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed