Well-Groomed-Creditor

0x78cc6c3aed479590af332d815f776cd5b6dea081

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Well-Groomed-Creditor: −$8.2K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 2%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$8.2K
return −68.6%
Settled bets
8
$12K staked
Won
12.5%
95% range 2%–47%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$5.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$3.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY South Carolina @ 53¢
Kentucky vs. South Carolina
Kentucky vs. South Carolina $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY Mississippi State @ 52¢
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
Spread: Alabama (-17.5) $2.2K
Sep 27 SELL Steelers @ 99.9¢
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
Spread: Bengals (-3.5) $2.2K
Sep 27 BUY Texas A&M @ 50¢
Spread: LSU (-13.5)
Spread: LSU (-13.5) $1.0K
Sep 24 BUY Falcons @ 32¢
Falcons vs. Packers
Falcons vs. Packers $1.2K
Sep 21 BUY Giants @ 27¢
Giants vs. Rams
Giants vs. Rams $1.4K
Aug 26 BUY Over @ 51¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 $3.9K
Aug 23 BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 52¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed