Polymarket market · Other

Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $65K into this market since Oct 1, 100% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$5.9K and 0 lost $0: +$5.9K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Mysterious-Lilac
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 84¢ $19K — +$3.5K
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 92¢ $17K — +$1.5K
Cheap-Atrium
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.6¢ $15K — +$60
Decent-Armrest
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.5¢ $6.5K — +$33
Elementary-Timetable
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 97¢ $2.2K — +$60
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$62
Accurate-Decoder
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 83¢ $1.5K — +$303
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 88¢ $1.1K — +$144
Dry-Kimono-Blazer
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 79¢ $1.0K — +$273

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $65K
    100% of whale buying · 9 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed