Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea

Resolved: Arthur Gea won · See it on Polymarket ↗

37 whales put $277K into this market since Sep 5, 55% of their buying on Michael Zheng. Arthur Gea won. Of the 26 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$36K and 14 lost −$72K: −$37K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 37
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xef1b…8697
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 51¢ $18K $49K —
Immediate-Vineyard-Cork
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $36K —
0x2089…712e
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 56¢ $18K — −$18K
Pastel-Push
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 48¢ $2.4K $13K —
Smart-Pate-Pumpkin
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 56¢ $4.2K $9.6K —
Popular-Rake-Defeat
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 65¢ $13K — +$7.0K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 60¢ $12K — −$751
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Michael Zheng @ 56¢ $11K — −$11K
Sore-Sneaker-Sombrero
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 45¢ $10K — −$10K
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 53¢ $9.9K — −$9.9K
Favorable-Neuron
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 56¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 46¢ $5.9K — +$7.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 59¢ $5.3K — +$31
Nutty-Rooster-Colonialism
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 49¢ $5.0K — +$5.2K
Overcooked-Enthusiasm
16 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arthur Gea @ 43¢ $4.3K — +$5.7K
New-Hammock
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 42¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Standard-Tarragon
120 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $3.7K —
0x0d07…d246
8 settled bets Too few bets
Michael Zheng @ 56¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 43¢ $3.0K — +$4.0K
Pushy-Program
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 46¢ $2.5K — +$108
Legal-Majority
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Fake-Cloakroom
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 64¢ $2.1K — +$1.2K
Delayed-Replacement
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 47¢ $2.0K — +$2.3K
Muted-Dearest
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$60
Bumpy-Burden
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michael Zheng @ 56¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. Michael Zheng lost
    $85K
    55% of whale buying · 17 buyers
  2. Arthur Gea won
    $58K
    37% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $121K sold
  3. Arthur Gea lost
    $13K
    8% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 5 to Sep 6, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-05? $66K 6 Won: Yes
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5) $81K 7 Won: Philadelphia Union
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles $64K 9 Won: Boston Red Sox
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens $219K 20 Won: Naomi Osaka
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals $58K 6 Won: Toronto Blue Jays
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-05? $95K 5 Won: Yes
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians $66K 7 Won: Detroit Tigers
US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp $162K 25 Won: Botic van de Zandschulp
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed