0x2089…712e
0x208927449ac85131e4f34d0c499bfae71a24712e
0x2089…712e: +$91K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 30%–60%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$91K
return +28.2%
Settled bets
36
$323K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 30%–60%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$33K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$66K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$8.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 | $5.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 |
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | $3.8K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Texas Rangers
@ 50¢
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers |
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | $5.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Luminosity
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY paiN
@ 70¢
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 10 | BUY 9z
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $5.0K |
| Sep 10 | BUY 9z
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $5.0K |
| Sep 10 | BUY 9z
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.