Rusty-Birdwatcher-Idea
0x70fbba60e069572dda8359dc431bdd51e778946b
Rusty-Birdwatcher-Idea: +$816 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$816
return —
Settled bets
9
$0 staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$824
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$6
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Andrey Rublev
@ 46¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Lautaro Midon
@ 96¢
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon |
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Marco Cecchinato
@ 47¢
Braga: Marco Cecchinato vs Olle Wallin |
Braga: Marco Cecchinato vs Olle Wallin | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY EC Juventude
@ 34¢
Spread: EC Juventude (-1.5) |
Spread: EC Juventude (-1.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Nets
@ 95¢
Nets vs. Hornets |
Nets vs. Hornets | $3.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Alex Barrena
@ 52¢
Antofagasta: Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida |
Antofagasta: Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Felix Balshaw
@ 56¢
Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler |
Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Daniil Glinka
@ 99.9¢
St. Tropez: Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet |
St. Tropez: Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.