Gummy-Principle
0x8d25077f8e9678938c848fd491f7981f3f91af74
Gummy-Principle: −$10K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$10K
return −100.1%
Settled bets
3
$10K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$6.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | SELL Daniil Medvedev
@ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech |
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | $5.4K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 73¢
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech |
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | $3.9K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Carlos Alcaraz
@ 80¢
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz |
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz | $6.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.