Polymarket market · Sports
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Resolved: Casper Ruud won · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $81K on this market since Nov 2, 71% of their buying on Casper Ruud. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Casper Ruud won, with 71% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$9.7K and 5 lost −$22K: −$13K between them. Biggest win: Hasty-Spokeswoman-Listing, +$3.5K on Casper Ruud. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$7.9K on Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasty-Spokeswoman-Listing
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 83¢ | $17K | — | +$3.5K |
| Forked-Pricing
310 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 98¢ | $13K | — | +$281 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,056 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Casper Ruud @ 74¢ | $9.6K | — | +$3.4K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,607 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 30¢ | $7.9K | — | −$7.9K |
| Quixotic-Brow
264 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 29¢ | $6.5K | — | −$6.5K |
| Naughty-Tab
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 96¢ | $4.3K | — | +$158 |
| Snappy-Basketball
386 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 28¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| Luminous-Collision
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 75¢ | $3.5K | — | +$1.2K |
| Trusty-Scooter
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 85¢ | $3.0K | — | +$529 |
| 0x02fd…104c
31 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Excellent-Figure
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 33¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| General-Nuke-Abrogation
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Mad-Wound
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 86¢ | $1.5K | — | +$244 |
| Worrisome-Winery
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 85¢ | $1.5K | — | +$260 |
| Grateful-Chest
341 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 29¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Worse-Glance
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Casper Ruud @ 89¢ | $1.4K | — | +$170 |
Where the whale money went
-
Casper Ruud won$55K71% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $4.5K sold
-
Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost$22K29% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi | $57K | 20 | Won: Cameron Norrie | |
| Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | $72K | 6 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger | $88K | 10 | Won: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone | $121K | 15 | Won: Luca Van Assche | |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar | $80K | 16 | Won: Rafael Jodar | |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego | $109K | 12 | Won: Mattia Bellucci | |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana | $84K | 17 | Won: Mary Stoiana | |
| Heat vs. Lakers | $52K | 8 | Won: Lakers |