Polymarket market · Sports

Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi

Resolved: Cameron Norrie won · See it on Polymarket ↗

20 whales traded $57K on this market since Nov 2, 80% of their buying on Cameron Norrie. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Cameron Norrie won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$13K and 4 lost −$9.1K: +$3.6K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$6.8K on Cameron Norrie. Biggest loss: Meager-Flair-Wait, −$3.9K on Matteo Arnaldi.

The whales on this market

20 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,056 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cameron Norrie @ 58¢ $9.5K — +$6.8K
Wrathful-Row
338 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 89¢ $8.1K — +$996
Forked-Pricing
310 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 96¢ $5.0K — +$208
Meager-Flair-Wait
121 settled bets Worse than the odds
Matteo Arnaldi @ 34¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Twin-Livestock-Camper
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 97¢ $1.6K $1.6K +$48
All-Peasant-Drug
1,271 settled bets Worse than the odds
Cameron Norrie @ 92¢ $2.9K — +$238
Oval-Maternity
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 80¢ $2.8K — +$711
Glaring-Salt
2,353 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Matteo Arnaldi @ 47¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Worrisome-Winery
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 79¢ $1.1K $1.4K +$293
General-Nuke-Abrogation
10 settled bets Too few bets
Cameron Norrie @ 63¢ $1.8K — +$1.0K
Powerful-Begonia
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 55¢ $1.7K — +$1.4K
Thirsty-Detector
52 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Far-Off-Candidate
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Sweltering-Copyright
18 settled bets Too few bets
Cameron Norrie @ 69¢ $1.5K — +$652
Suspicious-Treatment
9 settled bets Too few bets
Matteo Arnaldi @ 42¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
0x2892…c2b7
12 settled bets Too few bets
Matteo Arnaldi @ 31¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Steep-Tummy
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Willing-Skiing
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cameron Norrie @ 78¢ $1.1K — +$298
Discrete-Enclosure
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Cameron Norrie won
    $37K
    80% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Matteo Arnaldi lost
    $9.1K
    20% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies $72K 6 Won: Pelicans
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo $81K 16 Won: Casper Ruud
Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego $109K 12 Won: Mattia Bellucci
Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger $88K 10 Won: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone $121K 15 Won: Luca Van Assche
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar $80K 16 Won: Rafael Jodar
Heat vs. Lakers $52K 8 Won: Lakers
Bears vs. Seahawks $106K 7 Won: Bears
About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed