Polymarket market · Sports

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana

Resolved: Mary Stoiana won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales traded $84K on this market since Nov 2, 83% of their buying on Mary Stoiana. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 3.6¢ more per share, with 85% of the size there to buy. Mary Stoiana won, with 83% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$4.7K and 2 lost −$13K: −$8.3K between them. Biggest win: Uniform-Comestible, +$1.1K on Mary Stoiana. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$9.7K on Venus Williams.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hasty-Spokeswoman-Listing
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 94¢ $16K — +$1.0K
Substantial-Service
1,191 settled bets Beat the odds*
Venus Williams @ 10¢ $9.7K — −$9.7K
Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 96¢ $4.0K $4.2K +$168
Mellow-Settlement
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 99¢ $7.4K — +$83
Uniform-Comestible
9 settled bets Too few bets
Mary Stoiana @ 86¢ $6.7K — +$1.1K
Firsthand-Ticket-Nothing
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 99.9¢ $5.5K — +$5
Trivial-Ravioli
377 settled bets Worse than the odds
Mary Stoiana @ 85¢ $4.8K — +$816
Enchanting-Oats-Veal
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 87¢ $4.3K — +$649
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,983 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 96¢ $3.9K — +$176
Forked-Pricing
310 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 89¢ $3.8K — +$476
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
152 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Venus Williams @ 9¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Bruised-Dragonfruit
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 94¢ $1.2K $1.3K +$78
Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,056 settled bets Beat the odds*
Mary Stoiana @ 97¢ $2.0K — +$67
Mad-Wound
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 94¢ $1.5K — +$96
Overcooked-Recorder
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Admired-Gopher
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Mary Stoiana @ 99.5¢ $1.3K — +$7
Likable-Mineshaft
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Mary Stoiana won
    $63K
    83% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $8.2K sold
  2. Venus Williams lost
    $13K
    17% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz $301K 20 Won: Lorenzo Musetti
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs $110K 11 Won: Ignacio Buse
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata $126K 11 Won: Rinky Hijikata
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar $80K 16 Won: Rafael Jodar
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone $121K 15 Won: Luca Van Assche
Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger $88K 10 Won: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari $51K 8 Won: Maria Sakkari
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo $81K 16 Won: Casper Ruud
About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed