Tart-Sleep-Possible

0x7cd241a43b7f0120a39ea3500ca376390b34cb3e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tart-Sleep-Possible: −$1.2K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −11.4%
Settled bets
8
$10K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 17¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini $1.8K
Oct 1 SELL Tallon Griekspoor @ 46¢
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev $1.9K
Sep 30 SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx $1.0K
Sep 28 BUY Martin Damm @ 25¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Martin Damm
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Martin Damm $1.1K
Sep 27 BUY Igor Ribeiro Marcondes @ 24¢
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $2.0K
Sep 27 BUY Yunchaokete Bu @ 30¢
Hangzhou Open: Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu
Hangzhou Open: Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu $1.4K
Sep 27 BUY Kimberly Birrell @ 53¢
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell $3.0K
Sep 27 BUY Nishesh Basavareddy @ 71¢
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed