Polymarket market · Sports

Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima

Resolved: Brandon Nakashima won · See it on Polymarket ↗

42 whales put $840K into this market since Aug 21, 73% of their buying on Brandon Nakashima. Brandon Nakashima won. Of the 33 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$802K and 19 lost −$182K: +$620K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 42
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Webbed-Myth
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 39¢ $434K — +$681K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 64¢ $76K — −$76K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 71¢ $45K — −$13K
Naughty-Tab
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 53¢ $18K $23K —
Opulent-Right
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 64¢ $33K — −$33K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 31¢ $30K — +$66K
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 45¢ $18K $10K −$8.4K
General-Campaign
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 98¢ $13K $13K +$234
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Taylor Fritz @ 66¢ $10K — +$3.9K
Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 63¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Watery-Wing
9 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 37¢ $8.0K — +$14K
Innocent-Grape
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 92¢ $7.4K — +$640
Flimsy-Notebook
6 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 92¢ $1.9K $4.9K —
Wretched-Wriggler-Buddy
1 settled bets Too few bets
Taylor Fritz @ 69¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Quarrelsome-Trainer-Gearshift
10 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 37¢ $5.1K — +$8.7K
Dazzling-Catamaran-Belief
6 settled bets Too few bets
Taylor Fritz @ 69¢ $2.2K $2.9K +$691
Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
Taylor Fritz @ 67¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Fixed-Broom
1 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 98¢ $4.9K — +$100
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Brandon Nakashima @ 30¢ $4.8K — +$11K
Definite-Accident
6 settled bets Too few bets
Taylor Fritz @ 69¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Damaged-Hedgehog
1 settled bets Too few bets
Taylor Fritz @ 52¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Anchored-Grit
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 91¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Welcome-Concept
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Welcome-Revenue
210 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 39¢ $2.9K — +$4.6K
Admired-Doubter
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 48¢ $2.9K — +$3.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Brandon Nakashima won
    $564K
    73% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $41K sold
  2. Taylor Fritz lost
    $210K
    27% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $25K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed