Watery-Wing

0x4ce92f549b3826ca3de98806c5ede0598d057677

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Watery-Wing: +$6.2K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$6.2K
return +22.6%
Settled bets
9
$28K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$6.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 21 SELL Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET $1.6K
Aug 21 BUY Clement Chidekh @ 59¢
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekh
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekh $4.1K
Aug 21 BUY MIBR @ 58¢
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner $3.0K
Aug 21 BUY Brandon Nakashima @ 37¢
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima $8.0K
Aug 21 BUY Spirit @ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $3.6K
Aug 21 BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 37¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs $3.5K
Aug 21 BUY Spirit @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $1.8K
Aug 20 BUY Amanda Anisimova @ 50¢
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegula $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed