Definite-Accident
0x35f30fee96ec58b53b9ba8ed977c5f86beb2092f
Definite-Accident: −$9.2K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.2K
return −43.0%
Settled bets
6
$21K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | BUY Benjamin Hassan
@ 54¢
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna |
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna | $5.3K |
| Aug 25 | SELL Alec Deckers
@ 97¢
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza |
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza | $5.5K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Alec Deckers
@ 53¢
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza |
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza | $3.0K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Luka Pavlovic
@ 62¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | $1.9K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Taylor Fritz
@ 69¢
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima |
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | $4.7K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Madison Keys
@ 71¢
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys |
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys | $3.6K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Luca Van Assche
@ 79¢
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche |
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche | $2.9K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.