Polymarket market · Crypto

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $51K on this market since Sep 22, 94% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 3.2¢ more per share, with 81% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xe899…0899
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $32K —
0xbc00…75a7
no settled record
Yes @ 77¢ $4.5K —
Pristine-Clip-Billion
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 54¢ $3.3K —
Crazy-Fishmonger
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 48¢ $3.1K —
Insistent-Voice
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 49¢ $2.5K —
0x98d0…f14a
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 76¢ $1.8K —
Flippant-Speech
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 52¢ $1.7K —
Portly-Tapioca
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $1.2K —
Burdensome-Judgment
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 57¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $48K
    94% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. No
    $3.1K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793430041).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed