Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $86K into this market since Aug 20, 88% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Frozen-Antler
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 82¢ $21K —
Hideous-Leg
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $9.8K —
Impassioned-Watch
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $8.9K —
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 81¢ $4.7K $4.1K
Apprehensive-Breakdown
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $8.7K —
0xd9ae…4081
no settled record
No @ 81¢ $1.6K $5.3K
0xa784…3ae0
no settled record
No @ 88¢ $4.4K —
0x6131…fd16
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.4K
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 13¢ $3.1K —
Pastel-Method
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 83¢ $1.2K $1.4K
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 85¢ $2.5K —
0xaeb9…de9b
no settled record
Yes @ 11¢ $2.4K —
Upset-Suede
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $1.8K —
Intrepid-Holder
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K
Indelible-Roast
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 86¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $62K
    88% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $15K sold
  2. Yes
    $6.6K
    9% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. No
    $2.2K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed