Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

59 whales traded $277K on this market since Sep 6, 72% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 59
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Yellow-Dress-Ballet
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $43K —
Careful-Bunch
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $12K $15K
Grounded-Depression
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $5.8K $11K
Rundown-Regard
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $16K —
Barren-Submitter-Analogue
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 77¢ $13K —
Nutty-Dwelling-Basics
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 77¢ $12K —
Oblong-Pioneer
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 67¢ $8.5K —
Lonely-Jacket
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $3.6K $3.7K
New-Headlight
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.6K
Harsh-Macro
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 34¢ $4.6K $1.8K
Proud-Molasses
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 78¢ $1.7K $3.7K
Moist-Dame
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 30¢ $5.5K —
0xbd00…f843
no settled record
No @ 30¢ $5.1K —
Peppery-Capital
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $4.9K —
Sniveling-Produce
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 75¢ $3.5K $1.4K
0x9908…062c
no settled record
sold only $0 $4.7K
0x3b9f…33b0
no settled record
Yes @ 79¢ $4.1K —
0xf35c…f6e9
no settled record
Yes @ 73¢ $2.0K $1.9K
0x7110…b042
no settled record
Yes @ 74¢ $3.8K —
Strong-Grill-Self
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 70¢ $2.7K $1.1K
0x59c0…f69f
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.5K
0x7678…22a3
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 63¢ $3.5K —
Rare-Azimuth
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 30¢ $3.4K —
Personal-Bake
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 33¢ $3.3K —
0x39d0…4fe8
no settled record
Yes @ 72¢ $3.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $154K
    72% of whale buying · 33 buyers · $62K sold
  2. No
    $59K
    28% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $3.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 6 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793170821).

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed