Lonely-Jacket

0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Lonely-Jacket: +$4.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.1K
return +92.7%
Settled bets
2
$4.4K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL No @ 66¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $3.3K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 55¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $3.5K
Sep 21 SELL Yes @ 85¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? $4.3K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 65¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? $3.4K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 66¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? $1.0K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 85¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? $2.6K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 94¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? $1.9K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 26¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed