0xc8b9…b836
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836
0xc8b9…b836: −$522 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$522
return −1.2%
Settled bets
9
$45K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- −$5.1K
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$962
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- +$3.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | $19K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $4.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 29¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $4.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 40¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? |
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | $3.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 39¢
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | $1.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.