Velvety-Rutabaga
0x9ddfa4d5b954379a03d19f87df36b9820b862c83
Velvety-Rutabaga: +$17 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$17
return +0.2%
Settled bets
6
$11K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$10
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$9
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$17
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $4.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.9K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 90¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Yes
@ 59¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.