Pure-Threat

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Pure-Threat: −$1.2K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.2K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 3 – Sep 18
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,007 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY No @ 90¢
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 94¢
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? $2.1K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 78¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? $1.7K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 86¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? $2.9K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 85¢
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? $2.8K
Sep 28 BUY Yes @ 64¢ Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ $1.7K
Sep 25 BUY No @ 88¢
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? $1.0K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 85¢
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision? $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed