Thrifty-Brother-Deputy
0xde3131239a358be036397ee2c152e256e6b3df79
Profit
−$99K
return −21.2%
Settled bets
32
$466K staked
Won
40.6%
95% range 26%–58%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 32 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$126K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$31K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$4.1K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | Bought Over
at 55¢
Iceland vs. Estonia: O/U 2.5 |
Iceland vs. Estonia: O/U 2.5 | $9.8K |
| Sep 26 | Bought No
at 61¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-26? | $14K |
| Sep 24 | Bought No
at 61¢
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | $17K |
| Sep 20 | Bought Over
at 45¢
UD Las Palmas vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5 |
UD Las Palmas vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5 | $6.9K |
| Sep 20 | Bought No
at 57¢
Will FC København win on 2026-09-20? |
Will FC København win on 2026-09-20? | $13K |
| Sep 20 | Bought No
at 57¢
Will FC København win on 2026-09-20? |
Will FC København win on 2026-09-20? | $9.3K |
| Sep 19 | Bought Yes
at 56¢
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-19? |
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-19? | $3.6K |
| Sep 6 | Bought Yes
at 50¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06? |
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06? | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.