Polymarket market · Other

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $69K into this market since Oct 11, 69% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$53K and 5 lost −$20K: +$33K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $44K — +$53K
Sudden-Dugout-Disconnection
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $8.7K — −$8.7K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,760 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 48¢ $5.5K — −$5.5K
Wary-Bartender-Waveform
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 54¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Careful-Noir-Equinox
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Scary-Edible
1,406 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,639 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Attractive-Pigsty-Leeway
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $1.5K — +$99
Dizzy-Fellow
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $46K
    69% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.0K sold
  2. No lost
    $20K
    31% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed